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Wednesday continues the men’s and women’s US Open quarterfinals at the USTA Billie Jean King Tennis Center in Flushing Meadows, New York. On the men’s side, two of the most successful women without a Grand Slam championship will face off, and in both of Wednesday’s other two matches, an American will be attempting to advance to their first Grand Slam semifinal.
All Best Okbet bet in Tennis Odds & Lines are sourced from okbet sports betting. Grand Slam men’s matches are best-of-five sets, while women’s matches are best-of-three sets, just as the rest of the WTA Tour calendar. Prior hard court results, recent form, and stylistic pairings can aid in predicting the outcomes of Wednesday’s matches.
Andrey Rublev (-110) vs. Frances Tiafoe (-110). (-110)
Last year at the US Open, Tiafoe defeated Rublev in a five-set thriller that lasted late into the night, so the fiery American has already demonstrated he has what it takes to defeat the hard-hitting Russian in Arthur Ashe Stadium.
Their performance in this competition suggests that a repeat wouldn’t be all that surprising. Tiafoe is coming off a four-set victory over Rafael Nadal, which has often been shown to result in a short-term performance bump due to a confidence boost.
While Nadal was not at his best due to the lingering effects of his various injuries and the distraction of his wife being 34 weeks pregnant, that was still the biggest win of Tiafoe’s career, and he now has a golden opportunity to capitalize on that victory by reaching his first Grand Slam semifinal.
Rublev has appeared less spectacular in this tournament despite being rated 15 places higher than Tiafoe. However, he is coming off his greatest performance, having defeated Cameron Norrie in straight sets after being forced to five sets in two of his previous three encounters. While Rublev defeated Tiafoe in Cincinnati last month, the court conditions favored the Russian, as Rublev’s last Masters 1000 final on hard court occurred in Cincinnati in 2021.
Tiafoe is predicted to win in five sets.
Carlos Alcaraz (-180) vs. Jannik Sinner (+150)
Sinner holds a 2-1 advantage over Alcaraz in their head-to-head matchups, including a four-set victory at Wimbledon this year, but Alcaraz has performed better thus far in this tournament.
The 19-year-old Spaniard recently defeated former US Open champion Marin Cilic in five sets after sailing through his first three matches, while Sinner has been pushed to five sets by two unseeded opponents, Daniel Altmaier and Ilya Ivashka.
Alcaraz will be ranked No. 1 if he wins this tournament, and he will require a performance worthy of that status to defeat his 21-year-old Italian opponent, but betting against him doing so is risky. While this should be a back-and-forth contest, Alcaraz’s flashier game and aggressive attitude will certainly garner the support of the New York fans, which could give him the lead in the closing stages.
Alcaraz is predicted to win in five sets.
Iga Swiatek (-215) vs. Jessica Pegula (+175)
Swiatek has not been at her best in this match, but like a real champion, she has found her game when it mattered most.
She appeared to be in serious trouble in the previous round against Wimbledon quarterfinalist Jule Niemeier and was committing trivial errors in the first and a half sets, but Swiatek surged away to win 2-6, 6-4, 6-0. Pegula will undoubtedly make Swiatek work for it, but the last American woman remaining in the US Open has never advanced to the semifinals of a Grand Slam due to her lack of a powerful weapon.
This will be Pegula’s fourth quarterfinal in the last eight Grand Slam tournaments, but the eighth-ranked player in the world has been eliminated at this level on the previous three occasions. Even if Swiatek gets off to a slow start, she will be able to play her way back into form in this match, as she has already defeated Pegula in straight sets twice this season.
Swiatek is predicted to win in two sets.
Karolina Pliskova (+115) vs. Aryna Sabalenka (-135)
These are undoubtedly the two best WTA players without a Grand Slam championship, but after this match, one of them will be two matches away from changing that. The former world No. 1 has surmounted every obstacle in her path with three-set victories over Magda Linette, Belinda Bencic, and Victoria Azarenka, in addition to an amazing straight-set victory over Marie Bouzkova.
Her journey becomes more difficult when she faces sixth-seeded Sabalenka, who has been locked in since escaping Kaia Kanepi in the second round.
Both of these players set the stage for the rest of their games with powerful serves, but Sabalenka’s is more hit-or-miss and she occasionally gets the yips on her second serve. Pliskova and Sabalenka have met four times in the past, with Sabalenka prevailing twice in 2018 and Pliskova responding with two triumphs in 2017; hence, Pliskova has the upper hand based on their recent history.
Pliskova is predicted to win in three sets.
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